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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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dick morris, everybody. he has got a new book coming out on october 8th entitled "here comes the black helicopters." u.n. global governance and the loss of freedom. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. miller has some thoughts on ahmadinejad. that alone should freeze any remote control action. later comedian silverman weighing in on the presidential election. oh boy. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. [ male announcer ] if it wasn't for a little thing called the computer, we might still be making mix tapes. find this. pause this. play this. eject this. write this. it's like the days before esurance express lane™. you had to find a bunch of documents just to get a car insurance quote. now express lane finds your driving info with just one click, saving time to be nostalgic about the days before express lane. thank you, insurance for the modern world. esurance. now backed by allstate. click or call. >> bill: campaign 2012 segment tonight. go to political guy scott rasmussen and dr.
dick morris, everybody. he has got a new book coming out on october 8th entitled "here comes the black helicopters." u.n. global governance and the loss of freedom. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. miller has some thoughts on ahmadinejad. that alone should freeze any remote control action. later comedian silverman weighing in on the presidential election. oh boy. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. [ male announcer ] if it wasn't for a little thing called...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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dick morris, everybody. he has got a new book coming out on october 8th entitled "here comes the black helicopters." u.n. global governance and the loss of freedom. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. miller has some thoughts on ahmadinejad. that alone should freeze any remote control action. later comedian silverman weighing in on the presidential election. oh boy. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. the machine showed me a map of my feet, and it gave me my custom number. my arches needed more support until i got my number at the free dr. scholl's foot mapping center. i'm a believer! and you will be too! learn where to find your number at drscholls.com. ♪ [ male announcer ] how do you engineer a true automotive breakthrough? ♪ you give it bold new styling, unsurpassed luxury and nearly 1,000 improvements. introducing the redesigned 2013 glk. see your authorized mercedes-benz dealer for exceptional offers through mercedes-benz financial services. >> bill: campaign 2012 segment
dick morris, everybody. he has got a new book coming out on october 8th entitled "here comes the black helicopters." u.n. global governance and the loss of freedom. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. miller has some thoughts on ahmadinejad. that alone should freeze any remote control action. later comedian silverman weighing in on the presidential election. oh boy. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. the machine showed me a map of my feet, and it gave me my...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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dick morris said there's more to the polls than meet the eyes. dick morris is here dick. also former secretary of state henry kissinger, does he think the u.s. should draw a red line to stop the nuclear build-up? you'll hear coming up. plus, sparks fly as ann coulter took on the ladies of "the view." whoopi wasn't taking it. do not move. "on the record" back in 60 seconds. >> greta: there's no doubt about it, the presidential race it tight, but the sizzling question who hats edge. polls in swing states showing president obama pulling ahead of governor mitt romney, but not so fast. dick morris, author of new book "here come the black helicopters" has something to say about the polls. he joins us. nice to see you, dick. dick, you may be perhaps the only one who's saying that these polls suggest that governor romney is winning. please tell me how you arrive at that. >> sure. well, karl rove i think has some thoughts like that. let me go through it. what's going on now is these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino and young people v
dick morris said there's more to the polls than meet the eyes. dick morris is here dick. also former secretary of state henry kissinger, does he think the u.s. should draw a red line to stop the nuclear build-up? you'll hear coming up. plus, sparks fly as ann coulter took on the ladies of "the view." whoopi wasn't taking it. do not move. "on the record" back in 60 seconds. >> greta: there's no doubt about it, the presidential race it tight, but the sizzling question...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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dick morris, everybody. he has got a new book coming out on october 8th entitled "here comes the black helicopters." u.n. global governance and the loss of freedom. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. miller has some thoughts on ahmadinejad. that alone should freeze any remote control action. later comedian silverman weighing in on the presidential election. oh boy. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. [ engine revving ] ♪ [ male announcer ] every car we build must make adrenaline pump and pulses quicken. ♪ to help you not just to stay ale... but feel alive. the new c class is no exception. it's a mercedes-benz through and through. see your authorized mercedes-benz dealer for exceptional offers through mercedes-benz financial services. there's natural gas under my town. it's a game changer. ♪ it means cleaner, cheaper american-made energy. but we've got to be careful how we get it. design the wells to be safe. thousands of jobs. use the most advanced technology to protect our
dick morris, everybody. he has got a new book coming out on october 8th entitled "here comes the black helicopters." u.n. global governance and the loss of freedom. plenty more ahead as the factor moves along this evening. miller has some thoughts on ahmadinejad. that alone should freeze any remote control action. later comedian silverman weighing in on the presidential election. oh boy. we hope you stay tuned to those reports. [ engine revving ] ♪ [ male announcer ] every car we...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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dick morris. we'll find out. plus, the obama administration is incompetent, confused, or flat-out lying? u.s. intelligence shows we knew terrorists attacked our consulate in libya and it was confirmed within 24 hours. why the charade? >> what happened initially, it was a spontaneous reaction to what had just transpired in cairo as a consequence of the video. >> as i said last week, as our ambassador to the united nations said on sunday, as i said the other day, based on what we know and now, and knew at the time, we have no evidence of a preplanned or premeditated attack. >> two sources have told fox that within 24 hours of the attack, all of the evidence that the u.s. intelligence committee had at that time pointed to a terrorist attack, and that it was the work of a specific group related to al-qaeda and its affiliate in that area. >> obama sends his surrogates out to lie about the -- about the cause and the nature of the attacks. obama created a conspiracy theory, and coordinated a campaign of deceit to distra
dick morris. we'll find out. plus, the obama administration is incompetent, confused, or flat-out lying? u.s. intelligence shows we knew terrorists attacked our consulate in libya and it was confirmed within 24 hours. why the charade? >> what happened initially, it was a spontaneous reaction to what had just transpired in cairo as a consequence of the video. >> as i said last week, as our ambassador to the united nations said on sunday, as i said the other day, based on what we know...
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Sep 4, 2012
09/12
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dick morris in 1996. >> greg: that was a story. you can discuss this topic or the other topic we might get to. >> dana: yesterday you talked about joe klein who said on one of the other show, some show that maybe obama should play the race card. it defended him. i said well maybe what he meant is that president obama should come out and try to heal people. so today he tries to explain it and he made it worse by saying if the current republican dog whistling continues, blah, blah, blah. i hereby withdraw my support and defense of him, joe klein. >> greg: the funny thing about that he said i'd never play the race card because it's cliche term. then he uses the word dog whistle now replaced the race card as clicheed term. a walking cliche hack. >> bob: it's worth the discussion that 93% of blacks vote for democrats. >> greg: it's worth talking about but i'm cutting you off. >> bob: thank you. >> greg: we could do a show on that. 24 hours on that. but we won't. coming up, ready for convention trivia? we took your questions on twitter a
dick morris in 1996. >> greg: that was a story. you can discuss this topic or the other topic we might get to. >> dana: yesterday you talked about joe klein who said on one of the other show, some show that maybe obama should play the race card. it defended him. i said well maybe what he meant is that president obama should come out and try to heal people. so today he tries to explain it and he made it worse by saying if the current republican dog whistling continues, blah, blah,...
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the difference was, when the democrats lost in 1994, bill and hillary clinton brought in dick morris and they said, you know, if we don't learn something from this experience we will be beat in '96. i thought that parts of the clinton speech were eerily anti-obama. if you listen to the sub text. and he said, i worked with welfare because i worked with the republicans, but you didn't president obama. i had the longest growth in history, and you didn't, mr. obama. you can take the speech and spin it not much and it is a condemnation of the fact that obama learned nothing. bob woodward's new book indicates that he learned nothing out of the 2010 election. >> can bill clinton move votes for president obama? >> well, he can temporarily move votes. i would say that the bounce that obama is getting coming out of the convention is 80% bill clinton. he is a popular figure for a practical reason, the economy worked. people had jobs. we reduced children in poverty by 25% through the welfare reform and balanced the budget for four years and you look back and say, i think that what it does is shr
the difference was, when the democrats lost in 1994, bill and hillary clinton brought in dick morris and they said, you know, if we don't learn something from this experience we will be beat in '96. i thought that parts of the clinton speech were eerily anti-obama. if you listen to the sub text. and he said, i worked with welfare because i worked with the republicans, but you didn't president obama. i had the longest growth in history, and you didn't, mr. obama. you can take the speech and spin...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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he started a hashtag called dick morris predictions. no one will even notice that the nfl is even using replacement reps. he is already catching on fire. i love it. another way that they go here with the counterattacks is mitt romney doing an on-air ad. when you see the actual candidate in the ad, you know he is in a little bit of trouble. why? because they don't normally go in that direction. he is trying to do a personal appeal. here is mitt romney trying. >> romney: president obama and i both care about poor and middle class families, the difference is my policies will make things better for them. we shouldn't measure compassion by how many people are on welfare. we should measure compassion by how many people are able to get off of welfare and get a better job. >> cenk: problem number 2 if you have to start your ad by talking about how great your opponent is, you are in trouble. >> i'm not a witch. i'm nothing you have heard. i'm you. i'll go to washington, and do what you would do. i'm christine o'donnell, and i approve this messag
he started a hashtag called dick morris predictions. no one will even notice that the nfl is even using replacement reps. he is already catching on fire. i love it. another way that they go here with the counterattacks is mitt romney doing an on-air ad. when you see the actual candidate in the ad, you know he is in a little bit of trouble. why? because they don't normally go in that direction. he is trying to do a personal appeal. here is mitt romney trying. >> romney: president obama and...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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that was dick morris, that's right, talking about his super secret polling source more than a month ago. and it seems republicans are now working harder than ever to create their own reality. the conspiracy theories are reached fox news. >> well, if you look at the mainstream media, the big headline is, according to their polling, mitt romney is, what, five, six, seven, eight points behind barack obama right now. is that the same kind of polling you guys are finding with your internal? >> hold it right there. he's complaining about all those mainstream media polls? but fox news' most recent poll had president obama up by five points over mitt romney. here's ed gillespie of the romney campaign answering his question. >> it is not consistent with our polling, stephen. i'm struck by a couple of things. number one, there are three swing state polls out today, and in every single one of them, they have a democratic voter participation that is higher than the participation in the electorate in 2008. >> gillespie is complaining about something a lot of republicans have been complaining about a
that was dick morris, that's right, talking about his super secret polling source more than a month ago. and it seems republicans are now working harder than ever to create their own reality. the conspiracy theories are reached fox news. >> well, if you look at the mainstream media, the big headline is, according to their polling, mitt romney is, what, five, six, seven, eight points behind barack obama right now. is that the same kind of polling you guys are finding with your internal?...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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we'll have much more on that outrageous interview with dick morris, but first we're joined in studio by the author of a brand-new book out today, "mugged" available in bookstores everywhere. ann coulter is with you. they lied. this is the bottom line here. they said the youtube video, two ways of attack. this is not spontaneous. i have a missile-fired grenade i'm about to shoot into a u.s. consulate and kill a u.s. ambassador. >> you don't think it's a youtube video? >> sean: the one released in july? >> i consider the whole administration a bump in the road. his presidency a bump in the road. >> sean: that's a good point. >> sean: look, we have two navy seals. we've got an ambassador. the ambassador is saying, i'm afraid, i'm on a terror hit list. he writes it in his diary. >> right. >> sean: he wrote it in his dire, and ardiary, but he didn'l anybody about it? >> as i told you two weeks ago, i was a little suspicious since it all started on 9/11, something the white house didn't seem to notice. all of that, that goes back to my last book, not the one out tomorrow. >> sean: right. >
we'll have much more on that outrageous interview with dick morris, but first we're joined in studio by the author of a brand-new book out today, "mugged" available in bookstores everywhere. ann coulter is with you. they lied. this is the bottom line here. they said the youtube video, two ways of attack. this is not spontaneous. i have a missile-fired grenade i'm about to shoot into a u.s. consulate and kill a u.s. ambassador. >> you don't think it's a youtube video? >>...
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Sep 6, 2012
09/12
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dick morris, everybody, when we come back, bret baier takes down senator dick durbin, that's next. [ male announcer ] it's simple physics... a body at rest tends to stay at rest... while a body in motion tends to stay in motion. staying active can actually ease arthritis sympto. but if you have arthritis, staying active can be difficult. prescription celebrex can help relieve arthritis pain so your body can stay in motion. because just one 200mg celebrex a day can provide 24 hour relief for many with arthritis pain and inflammation. plus, in clinical studies, celebrex is proven to improve daily physical function so moving is easier. celebrex can be taken with or without food. and it's not a narcotic. you and your doctor should balance the benets with theisks. all prescription nsaids, like celebrex, ibuprofen, naproxen, and meloxicam have the same cardiovascular warning. they all may increase the chance of heart attack or stroke, which can lead to death. this chance increases if you have heart disease risk factors suh as high blood pressure or when nsaids are taken for long periods. n
dick morris, everybody, when we come back, bret baier takes down senator dick durbin, that's next. [ male announcer ] it's simple physics... a body at rest tends to stay at rest... while a body in motion tends to stay in motion. staying active can actually ease arthritis sympto. but if you have arthritis, staying active can be difficult. prescription celebrex can help relieve arthritis pain so your body can stay in motion. because just one 200mg celebrex a day can provide 24 hour relief for...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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then they put dick morris on. dick morris. he said that they're using the 2008 polls. he accused them of using the polls from 2008. >> stephanie: dana, here's what's most entertaining. er this already setting up the prestory for why mitt romney didn't get elected. >> caller: they're totally reaching and my second thing is, you know seeing newt gingrich with todd akin, it is despicable. this whole ralph reed thing, i sent you and chris a copy of the form. he's got this voter form and it was on rachel maddow last night. it is despicable. >> stephanie: newt gingrich will go to the opening of an envelope. the rapey guy? sure. >> caller: absolutely. i don't know. you know, remember with president obama and bill ayers and reverend wright, continually, defended himself. so why isn't mitt romney stepping away from these people? i don't agree with ralph reed or todd akin? he's not doing that. >> the plan is to step -- he's obviously cleared himself of newt gingrich a long time ago and todd akin, they came out directly against because they didn't have a choice and my favorite wa
then they put dick morris on. dick morris. he said that they're using the 2008 polls. he accused them of using the polls from 2008. >> stephanie: dana, here's what's most entertaining. er this already setting up the prestory for why mitt romney didn't get elected. >> caller: they're totally reaching and my second thing is, you know seeing newt gingrich with todd akin, it is despicable. this whole ralph reed thing, i sent you and chris a copy of the form. he's got this voter form and...
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Sep 7, 2012
09/12
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dick morris joins us. dick who did the better job? >> do i get to see either? there is clinton's speech like a really good lawyer defending a guilty client. you could look at moves and celebrate them. and at the same time, not be convinced. and that is a phrase of his are we better off is going to haunt the democrats because by 2-1, people believe we're not. anyone thinks we are is nuts. and in the opinion of most americans. and that is i think going to hurt badly. i think for obama's speech is that he's used to giving good speeches. i thought 10 minutes were uplifting and very good. the core was making clearer than he's made before, that he's a liberal and a big government, big spending liberal. and this country isn't liberal. two things with not done. they did not destroy mitt romney. it was very little time spent in prime time on attacking romney. there was a bane capitol story buzz those weren't in prime time and from 20 years ago. and there are attacks on republican party. and not on mitt romney. secondly there is no real portrayal of the substantive recor
dick morris joins us. dick who did the better job? >> do i get to see either? there is clinton's speech like a really good lawyer defending a guilty client. you could look at moves and celebrate them. and at the same time, not be convinced. and that is a phrase of his are we better off is going to haunt the democrats because by 2-1, people believe we're not. anyone thinks we are is nuts. and in the opinion of most americans. and that is i think going to hurt badly. i think for obama's...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in m
dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened...
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Sep 8, 2012
09/12
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>> yeah, we're back with dick morris and i imagine, first of all, dick. the most important going to mile high, are they going there ahead of time to prepare. >> alisyn: acclimate? >> that would be a good thing to do. and there was one football game a couple of years ago where the jets were playing the broncos, and jets didn't go out to denver until the day before aut that that was a mist, that was a playoff game and the broncos destroyed them in the second half. winded there. >> alisyn: there's a political lesson there. seriously, weeks beforehand, how much time are they dedicated to preparing and what are they doing? >> i don't think they're rehearsing yet. they will. you think the conventions themselves as the preparation for the debate. because both parties were getting their message down. and the democratic message is that the republican party is telling you, you're on your own. and the republican message is to say that we need government to let us alone so that we can grow. and i want to tell you all a cute story. and once bill clinton came in to me
>> yeah, we're back with dick morris and i imagine, first of all, dick. the most important going to mile high, are they going there ahead of time to prepare. >> alisyn: acclimate? >> that would be a good thing to do. and there was one football game a couple of years ago where the jets were playing the broncos, and jets didn't go out to denver until the day before aut that that was a mist, that was a playoff game and the broncos destroyed them in the second half. winded there....
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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dick morris with a brand new column up saying the wind is at romney's back. he will win unless there is a catastrophe. if you hear that and digest that day after day, it is going to be uncomfortable on election night. >> john: i think eric, that explains the falsehoods in paul ryan's speech. so many people were shocked the v.p. nominee could tell so many easily disproved lies in his speech. i think it's because the man is used to living in the bubble and speaking to audiences that won't fact check him. >> that's a good point. people were taken back since when do vice presidential candidates at the convention just sort of make stuff up? >> john: i think it was established in 2008. >> she really said -- the president was the bridge to nowhere, i think. paul ryan just followed it up with the g.m. plant closing. completely unforced air. didn't have to make it. i think there's something to it. he's been telling this lie about that plant closing for so long to either republican audiences or republican talk shows or on fox news. and there's no pushback. so i think y
dick morris with a brand new column up saying the wind is at romney's back. he will win unless there is a catastrophe. if you hear that and digest that day after day, it is going to be uncomfortable on election night. >> john: i think eric, that explains the falsehoods in paul ryan's speech. so many people were shocked the v.p. nominee could tell so many easily disproved lies in his speech. i think it's because the man is used to living in the bubble and speaking to audiences that won't...
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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dick morris is here to explain. >> brian: first happy birthday to aerosmith guitarist. he's 62. ♪ ♪ it doesn't get any better than endless shrimp at red lobster. you can mix and match all day! [ male announcer ] red lobster's endless shrimp is back... but only foa limited time! try as much as you like, any way you like! like parmesan crusted simp just $14.99. i'm ryaisabell and i sea fd differently. for the spender who needs a little help saving. for adding "& sons." for the dreamer, planning an early escape. for the mother of the bride. for whoever you are, for whatever you're trying to achieve, pnc has technology, guidance, and over 150 years of experience to help you get there. ♪ so let's talk about coverage. based on this chart, who would you choose ? wow. you guys take a minute. verizon, hands down. i'm going to show you guys another chart. pretty obvious. i don't think color matters. pretty obvious. what's pretty obvious about it ? that verizon has the coverage. verizon. verizon. we're going to go to another chart. it doesn't really matter how you present it
dick morris is here to explain. >> brian: first happy birthday to aerosmith guitarist. he's 62. ♪ ♪ it doesn't get any better than endless shrimp at red lobster. you can mix and match all day! [ male announcer ] red lobster's endless shrimp is back... but only foa limited time! try as much as you like, any way you like! like parmesan crusted simp just $14.99. i'm ryaisabell and i sea fd differently. for the spender who needs a little help saving. for adding "& sons." for...
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Sep 6, 2012
09/12
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. >> dick morris and bill o'reilly talking about the changes and the significance of putting the two words back in. >> it is to me very significant that the president went so far as to say, i want jerusalem back in but not, i want --. >> does he not need the jewish vote in florida? >> he is so, i believe he things jews don't care about israel and i think he is so mesmerized by his ball last towards the palestinians he cannot help himself. >> you say he put jerusalem back. >> but he did not put hamas back. >> no one care about hamas. >> they are the leading terrorist organization in the middle east. >> you and seven other guys don't care but god and jerusalem are big but i believe president obama called them up and said stop this right now. >> that conversation is not ending there. that is what we would like you to brew on, what do you think of the democrats' platform change? send us your comments on this or shoot us an e-mail. we will read the mails later in the show. get them in. >> got that? the top stories at this hour, we all remember when president obama said this. listen here.
. >> dick morris and bill o'reilly talking about the changes and the significance of putting the two words back in. >> it is to me very significant that the president went so far as to say, i want jerusalem back in but not, i want --. >> does he not need the jewish vote in florida? >> he is so, i believe he things jews don't care about israel and i think he is so mesmerized by his ball last towards the palestinians he cannot help himself. >> you say he put...
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Sep 12, 2012
09/12
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let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the whole development of the last 24 hours are really calling into question obama's foreign policy credentials and his supposed advantage in that field. don't forget that this libya attack comes at a country with the united states basically underwrote their whole revolution, put our own people at risk, flying strikes in the no-fly zone. this is a uprising the u.s. backed and supported. this is a tremendous, tremendous reversal and a black eye for obama and his foreign policy. on the netanyahu front, it was incredible that hillary clinton said yesterday, there are no bright lines, whic
let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the...
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Sep 14, 2012
09/12
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but dick morris is not going to topeka. he will continue to cash his fox news paycheck and continue to predict republicans victories no matter what the polls say. even the fox news polls. [ male announcer ] this is rudy. his morning starts with arthritis pain. and two pills. afternoon's overhaul starts with more pain. more pills. triple checking hydraulics. the evening brings more pain. so, back to more pills. almost done, when... hang on. stan's doctor recommended aleve. it can keep pain away all day with fewer pills than tylenol. this is rudy. who switched to aleve. and two pills for a day free of pain. ♪ [ female announcer ] and try aleve for relief from tough headaches. [ female announcer ] and try aleve those little things for you, life's about her. but your erectile dysfunction - that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat e
but dick morris is not going to topeka. he will continue to cash his fox news paycheck and continue to predict republicans victories no matter what the polls say. even the fox news polls. [ male announcer ] this is rudy. his morning starts with arthritis pain. and two pills. afternoon's overhaul starts with more pain. more pills. triple checking hydraulics. the evening brings more pain. so, back to more pills. almost done, when... hang on. stan's doctor recommended aleve. it can keep pain away...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll?
megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured out in the latest poll. 30.67 percent of the country considers them republican.
dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the...
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224
Sep 23, 2012
09/12
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. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabba
. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you...